Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002195 0.002318 0.002449 0.002598 0.002765 0.002946 0.003160
2025-02-16 0.002002 0.002172 0.002360 0.002588 0.002860 0.003179 0.003588
2025-02-23 0.001904 0.002109 0.002346 0.002646 0.003026 0.003501 0.004167
2025-03-02 0.001788 0.002009 0.002271 0.002616 0.003070 0.003672 0.004576
2025-03-09 0.001683 0.001911 0.002188 0.002561 0.003069 0.003772 0.004899
2025-03-16 0.001640 0.001883 0.002186 0.002607 0.003204 0.004077 0.005596
2025-03-23 0.001598 0.001853 0.002178 0.002641 0.003322 0.004371 0.006354
2025-03-30 0.001538 0.001797 0.002130 0.002614 0.003345 0.004517 0.006887
2025-04-06 0.001471 0.001726 0.002058 0.002546 0.003298 0.004537 0.007173
2025-04-13 0.001423 0.001679 0.002015 0.002517 0.003306 0.004651 0.007699
2025-04-20 0.001347 0.001590 0.001911 0.002390 0.003148 0.004448 0.007429
2025-04-27 0.001317 0.001563 0.001890 0.002387 0.003190 0.004616 0.008125
2025-05-04 0.001302 0.001557 0.001901 0.002435 0.003327 0.005003 0.009649
2025-05-11 0.001274 0.001532 0.001884 0.002439 0.003391 0.005259 0.011015
2025-05-18 0.001264 0.001530 0.001900 0.002496 0.003555 0.005771 0.013855
2025-05-25 0.001231 0.001495 0.001866 0.002470 0.003564 0.005934 0.015523
2025-06-01 0.001194 0.001454 0.001820 0.002421 0.003522 0.005967 0.016621
2025-06-08 0.001183 0.001449 0.001828 0.002463 0.003663 0.006500 0.021968
2025-06-15 0.001170 0.001440 0.001830 0.002493 0.003784 0.007024 0.029983
2025-06-22 0.001145 0.001413 0.001802 0.002469 0.003789 0.007215 0.036170
2025-06-29 0.001112 0.001373 0.001753 0.002408 0.003709 0.007129 0.038089
2025-07-06 0.001089 0.001348 0.001726 0.002382 0.003702 0.007274 0.046174
2025-07-13 0.001046 0.001292 0.001650 0.002267 0.003495 0.006731 0.036516